{"id":7515,"date":"2026-09-14T05:42:11","date_gmt":"2026-09-14T08:42:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/elcanillita.info\/press\/?p=7515"},"modified":"2026-09-14T05:42:12","modified_gmt":"2026-09-14T08:42:12","slug":"querida-abuela-pecas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/elcanillita.info\/press\/2026\/09\/14\/querida-abuela-pecas\/","title":{"rendered":"Querida Abuela Pecas:"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Tu razonamiento tiene una virtud que hoy escasea: intenta mirar m\u00e1s all\u00e1 del titular. Y en varios puntos toca problemas reales. La inteligencia artificial est\u00e1 modificando el empleo en medio mundo; la apertura comercial obliga a competir a empresas que durante a\u00f1os pudieron vivir bastante c\u00f3modamente detr\u00e1s de una frontera protegida; cambian los h\u00e1bitos de consumo, cambia la demograf\u00eda y cambia hasta aquello que un chico espera encontrar dentro de un paquete de regalo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hasta ah\u00ed, caminamos juntos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El problema comienza cuando una explicaci\u00f3n razonable pretende convertirse en la explicaci\u00f3n completa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Que una f\u00e1brica argentina haya vivido durante a\u00f1os protegida no significa necesariamente que pueda competir ma\u00f1ana por la ma\u00f1ana con una industria china que trabaja con otra escala, otro acceso al cr\u00e9dito, otra infraestructura, otros costos log\u00edsticos y una formidable capacidad exportadora. Puede haber empresarios ineficientes, por supuesto. Tambi\u00e9n puede haber empresas razonablemente eficientes incapaces de absorber en pocos meses un cambio radical de las reglas de juego.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Abrir una econom\u00eda no es necesariamente malo. Abrirla sin transici\u00f3n, sin cr\u00e9dito productivo, sin infraestructura competitiva y sin calcular qui\u00e9n sobrevivir\u00e1 al aterrizaje es otra discusi\u00f3n.<\/strong> Una cosa es quitarle las rueditas a una bicicleta; otra, hacerlo mientras baja por una pendiente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Con los supermercados ocurre algo parecido. Es cierto que una inflaci\u00f3n menor elimina parte de aquella vieja costumbre argentina de comprar hoy porque ma\u00f1ana costar\u00e1 m\u00e1s. Eso modifica cantidades, frecuencia de compra y stocks dom\u00e9sticos. Pero de all\u00ed no puede deducirse autom\u00e1ticamente que una ca\u00edda del consumo carezca de relaci\u00f3n con el poder adquisitivo. Pueden suceder ambas cosas simult\u00e1neamente: desaparecer la compra defensiva contra la inflaci\u00f3n y<\/strong> existir familias que cuidan m\u00e1s el bolsillo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La mermelada es todav\u00eda m\u00e1s simp\u00e1tica. Quiz\u00e1 algunos hayan cambiado la tostada por el huevo. Bendito sea el colesterol si consigui\u00f3 semejante revoluci\u00f3n cultural. Pero para afirmar que una f\u00e1brica cierra porque el argentino descubri\u00f3 las prote\u00ednas necesitamos algo m\u00e1s que una tendencia alimentaria: necesitamos ventas por categor\u00edas, precios, costos, m\u00e1rgenes, evoluci\u00f3n del consumo y situaci\u00f3n financiera de la empresa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lo mismo vale para los juguetes. Menos nacimientos significan, naturalmente, menos ni\u00f1os y, a largo plazo, un mercado potencial menor. La tecnolog\u00eda tambi\u00e9n desplaz\u00f3 una parte del juguete tradicional. Pero entre una ca\u00edda demogr\u00e1fica y el cierre concreto de una f\u00e1brica existe una cadena de causas que debe demostrarse. Si no, cambiamos un titular simplista por otro titular simplista de signo contrario.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Y ac\u00e1 llegamos al punto central de tu mensaje: la atribuci\u00f3n de responsabilidades econ\u00f3micas y period\u00edsticas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No todo lo malo que ocurre en Argentina es culpa de Milei. Pero tampoco todo aquello que ocurre durante su Gobierno puede explicarse diciendo que habr\u00eda ocurrido de cualquier manera.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Un Presidente no inventa la econom\u00eda que recibe. Hereda inflaci\u00f3n, deuda, regulaciones, privilegios, distorsiones, empresas protegidas y una larga colecci\u00f3n de facturas dejadas por quienes estuvieron antes. Pero, desde el momento en que gobierna, tambi\u00e9n elige la velocidad, las prioridades, los instrumentos y la distribuci\u00f3n de los costos de la transformaci\u00f3n. Esas decisiones s\u00ed le pertenecen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nuestro trabajo period\u00edstico consiste precisamente en distinguir ambos planos y evitar dos simplificaciones igualmente c\u00f3modas:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00abCerr\u00f3 una f\u00e1brica: culpa de Milei\u00bb.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00abCerr\u00f3 una f\u00e1brica: culpa de la f\u00e1brica\u00bb.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Las dos caben maravillosamente en un titular. Ninguna alcanza para hacer periodismo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Por eso, cuando publiquemos que una empresa cerr\u00f3, habr\u00e1 que preguntar cu\u00e1nto vend\u00eda, cu\u00e1nto vende, qu\u00e9 importaciones ingresaron, c\u00f3mo evolucionaron sus costos, qu\u00e9 pas\u00f3 con los salarios, qu\u00e9 ocurri\u00f3 con su mercado, si perdi\u00f3 competitividad, si estaba artificialmente protegida y cu\u00e1nto influyeron las decisiones del Gobierno.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Solo despu\u00e9s de reconstruir esa cadena de causas podremos repartir responsabilidades con seriedad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Porque quiz\u00e1s descubramos algo bastante menos emocionante que una batalla entre mile\u00edstas y antimile\u00edstas: que algunas empresas cerraron por ineficientes, otras por la apertura, otras porque cambi\u00f3 el consumidor, otras porque cay\u00f3 la demanda y unas cuantas por una mezcla de todo lo anterior.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Es una conclusi\u00f3n inc\u00f3moda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pero la realidad tiene esa p\u00e9sima costumbre de negarse a militar.<\/p>\n\n\n

\ud83d\udd8b\ufe0f \u00a9 Respuesta de la Redacci\u00f3n | 2026 \u2014 All Rights Reserved <\/small><\/p>\n

\n

\u00a9 2026 SalaStampa.eu, world press service – All Rights Reserved – Guzzo Photos & Graphic Publications \u2013 Registro Editori e Stampatori n. 1441 Turin, Italy<\/small><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tu razonamiento tiene una virtud que hoy escasea: intenta mirar m\u00e1s all\u00e1 del titular. Y en varios puntos toca problemas reales.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7108,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[121,108,70,11,123,136,192],"tags":[29],"class_list":["post-7515","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dc24","category-blogdiario","category-actualidad","category-america-del-sur","category-argentina","category-opinion","category-politica-argentina","tag-argentina","entry","double"],"yoast_head":"\nQuerida Abuela Pecas: - ElCanillita.Info<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/elcanillita.info\/press\/2026\/09\/14\/querida-abuela-pecas\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Querida Abuela Pecas: - ElCanillita.Info\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Tu razonamiento tiene una virtud que hoy escasea: intenta mirar m\u00e1s all\u00e1 del titular. 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